Clash Royale Legendary Odds

Chances of getting a Legendary card out of every chest type. Last updated: 12/27/2018

Geek mode enabled!

# of cards in chest × # of legendaries in game1
Leg. odds Legendary odds =
×
# of commons in gameLegendary factor

Legendary odds =

# of cards in chest

multiplied by

# of legendaries in game

divided by

# of commons in game

divided by

Legendary factor

Chest type Legendary factor¹
Free4000
Silver10000
Gold4000
Crown2400
Magical300
Giant10000
Mega Lightning600
Challenge2000
League (Draft)200

¹ Lower number is better.

Card type # of cards in game
Commons 24
Rares 24
Epics 27
Leggies 16

Epics and rares are not used in the calculations.

Some chests don't use the Legendary factor, they have the probability defined independently on the number of cards.

Arena: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Regular chests

Arena 13 Leg. factor LF Cards Leg. chance
Free
105 – 120
4000 15 (1) 0.25%
Crown
1050 – 1200
2400 75 (12) 2.08%

Chests from the cycle

Arena 13 Leg. factor LF Cards Leg. chance
Silver
133 – 152
10000 19 (2) 0.13%
Gold
532 – 608
4000 38 (9) 0.63%
Magical
1504
300 94 (9, 18) 20.89%
Giant
2961
10000 329 (65) 2.19%
Mega Lightning
7614
600 846 (28, 169)
8 strikes
100% (94%)
Legendary
0
100%
Epic
0
20× 0%

Shop and reward chests

Arena 13 Cards Leg. chance
Lightning
650
129 (2, 21)
5 strikes
1%
Legendary King's
4300
360 (24, 72)
Draft chest
100%
Fortune
1800
258 (8, 51) 10%
King's Available in Arenas 1 to 6.

Classic challenge

Legendary factor: 2000

Wins Gold Cards Leg. chance
0 130 2 0.07%
1 180 3 0.1%
2 240 5 0.17%
3 310 8 0.27%
4 390 12 ( 1) 0.4%
5 480 17 ( 1) 0.57%
6 590 23 ( 2) 0.77%
7 720 30 ( 3) 1%
8 880 38 ( 3) 1.27%
9 1080 48 ( 4) 1.6%
10 1330 61 ( 6) 2.03%
11 1630 78 ( 7) 2.6%
12 2000 100 (1, 10) 3.33%

Grand challenge

Legendary factor: 2000

Wins Gold Cards Leg. chance
0 1400 20 ( 2) 0.67%
1 1900 30 ( 3) 1%
2 2500 50 ( 5) 1.67%
3 3200 85 ( 8) 2.83%
4 4000 130 (1, 13) 4.33%
5 5000 185 (1, 18) 6.17%
6 6200 250 (2, 25) 8.33%
7 7600 330 (3, 33) 11%
8 9300 420 (4, 42) 14%
9 11500 530 (5, 53) 17.67%
10 14200 670 (6, 67) 22.33%
11 17500 860 (8, 86) 28.67%
12 22000 1100 (11, 110) 36.67%

Leagues

Legendary factor: 200

Draft Chest Gold Cards Leg. chance
Challenger I
4000+
1919 – 2121 101 (10, 50) 33.67%
Challenger II
4300+
5719 – 3171 151 (15, 75) 50.33%
Challenger III
4600+
3819 – 4221 201 (20, 100) 67%
Master I
4900+
4769 – 5271 251 (25, 125) 83.67%
Master II
5200+
5719 – 6321 301 (30, 150) 100% + 0.33%¹
Master III Master III
5500+
6669 – 7371 351 (35, 175) 100% + 17%¹
Champion
5800+
7619 – 8421 401 (40, 200) 100% + 33.67%¹
Grand Champion
6100+
8569 – 9471 451 (45, 225) 100% + 50.33%¹
Ultimate Champion
6400+
9519 – 10521 501 (50, 250) 100% + 67%¹

¹ Yes, this means you have a chance to get two Legendaries! (And one is guaranteed.)

Clan Wars chests

Bronze
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 1260 90 (2, 18) 0%
3 2100 150 (3, 30) 0%
2 2940 210 (5, 42) 0%
1 3780 270 (6, 54) 10%
Silver
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 2940 210 (5, 42) 0%
3 3780 270 (6, 54) 10%
2 4620 330 (8, 66) 13%
1 5460 390 (9, 78) 20%
Gold
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 4620 330 (8, 66) 13%
3 5460 390 (9, 78) 20%
2 6300 450 (11, 90) 25%
1 7140 510 (12, 102) 33%
Legendary
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 6300 480 (11, 90) 25%
3 7140 510 (12, 102) 33%
2 7980 570 (14, 114) 50%
1 8820 630 (15, 126) 100%

If you're interested in how the numbers are calculated, enable the Geek mode

Frequently asked questions

My friend has already 3 legendaries and I have none. It is not fair!

It is based on luck, so yes, you can say it is not fair. But the same rules and calculations apply to everybody, so in that sense, it is.

I only have one legendary, so I can't climb in trophies.

There are many decks, that use only one legendary. or even none. Check the Deck section to find a deck you like. Yes, legendaries are strong, but you can have fun even without them. Best Clash Royale decks

Show more

When will legendary cards start to appear in shop?

When you reach 2000 trophies.

Should I buy a particular legendary card in the shop?

It depends. If you have the gold and/or you want it, then yes. But spending 40K gold as a f2p player to get 2/4 Sparky is not worth it.

Are legendaries better than commons or epics?

You can't say that. Every card has its place in a well-built deck. You need to look at the cards from a perspective of how it will work in a deck, that's what matters the most.

What legendary is better, Inferno dragon or The Log?

… next question?

What is the lowest arena where I can get a legendary chest from the battle? Or where I can get a legendary card from a normal chest?

Arena 4

What is the lowest arena where I can get a legendary chest as a special offer?

Arena 4

Could legendary chest from lower arena contain all legendaries?

Yes, it can contain even legendaries from higher arenas that you don't have unlocked yet.

Can I get a legendary from an Epic chest?

No. (Really. Just no.)

Related videos

These videos are old and contain some information that is not up-to-date, but while, for example, the Supermagical chest is not in the game anymore, the general principles, like chest cycle, remain the same.

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