Clash Royale Legendary Odds

Chances of getting a Legendary card out of every chest type. Last updated: 04/15/2019

Geek mode enabled!

# of cards in chest × # of legendaries in game1
Leg. odds Legendary odds =
×
# of commons in gameLegendary factor

Legendary odds =

# of cards in chest

multiplied by

# of legendaries in game

divided by

# of commons in game

divided by

Legendary factor

Chest type Legendary factor¹
Free4000
Silver10000
Gold4000
Crown2400
Magical300
Giant10000
Mega Lightning600
Challenge2000
League (Draft)200

¹ Lower number is better.

Card type # of cards in game
Commons 24
Rares 26
Epics 27
Leggies 16

Epics and rares are not used in the calculations.

Some chests don't use the Legendary factor, they have the probability defined independently on the number of cards.

Arena: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Regular chests

Arena 12 Leg. factor LF Cards Leg. chance
Free
98 – 112
4000 14 (1) 0.23%
Crown
980 – 1120
2400 70 (11) 1.94%

Chests from the cycle

Arena 12 Leg. factor LF Cards Leg. chance
Silver
126 – 144
10000 18 (2) 0.12%
Gold
490 – 560
4000 35 (8) 0.58%
Magical
1408
300 88 (8, 17) 19.56%
Giant
2772
10000 308 (61) 2.05%
Mega Lightning
7128
600 792 (26, 158)
8 strikes
100% (88%)
Legendary
0
100%
Epic
0
20× 0%

Shop and reward chests

Arena 12 Cards Leg. chance
Lightning
630
125 (2, 20)
5 strikes
1%
Legendary King's
4200
350 (23, 70)
Draft chest
100%
Fortune
1800
250 (8, 50) 10%
King's Available in Arenas 1 to 6.

Classic challenge

Legendary factor: 2000

Wins Gold Cards Leg. chance
0 130 2 0.07%
1 180 3 0.1%
2 240 5 0.17%
3 310 8 0.27%
4 390 12 ( 1) 0.4%
5 480 17 ( 1) 0.57%
6 590 23 ( 2) 0.77%
7 720 30 ( 3) 1%
8 880 38 ( 3) 1.27%
9 1080 48 ( 4) 1.6%
10 1330 61 ( 6) 2.03%
11 1630 78 ( 7) 2.6%
12 2000 100 (1, 10) 3.33%

Grand challenge

Legendary factor: 2000

Wins Gold Cards Leg. chance
0 1400 20 ( 2) 0.67%
1 1900 30 ( 3) 1%
2 2500 50 ( 5) 1.67%
3 3200 85 ( 8) 2.83%
4 4000 130 (1, 13) 4.33%
5 5000 185 (1, 18) 6.17%
6 6200 250 (2, 25) 8.33%
7 7600 330 (3, 33) 11%
8 9300 420 (4, 42) 14%
9 11500 530 (5, 53) 17.67%
10 14200 670 (6, 67) 22.33%
11 17500 860 (8, 86) 28.67%
12 22000 1100 (11, 110) 36.67%

Clan Wars chests

Bronze
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 1260 90 (2, 18) 0%
3 2100 150 (3, 30) 0%
2 2940 210 (5, 42) 0%
1 3780 270 (6, 54) 10%
Silver
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 2940 210 (5, 42) 0%
3 3780 270 (6, 54) 10%
2 4620 330 (8, 66) 13%
1 5460 390 (9, 78) 20%
Gold
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 4620 330 (8, 66) 13%
3 5460 390 (9, 78) 20%
2 6300 450 (11, 90) 25%
1 7140 510 (12, 102) 33%
Legendary
Rank Gold Cards Leg. chance
4, 5 6300 480 (11, 90) 25%
3 7140 510 (12, 102) 33%
2 7980 570 (14, 114) 50%
1 8820 630 (15, 126) 100%

If you're interested in how the numbers are calculated, enable the Geek mode

Frequently asked questions

My friend has already 3 legendaries and I have none. It is not fair!

It is based on luck, so yes, you can say it is not fair. But the same rules and calculations apply to everybody, so in that sense, it is.

I only have one legendary, so I can't climb in trophies.

There are many decks, that use only one legendary. or even none. Check the Deck section to find a deck you like. Yes, legendaries are strong, but you can have fun even without them. Best Clash Royale decks

Show more

When will legendary cards start to appear in shop?

When you reach 2000 trophies.

Should I buy a particular legendary card in the shop?

It depends. If you have the gold and/or you want it, then yes. But spending 40K gold as a f2p player to get 2/4 Sparky is not worth it.

Are legendaries better than commons or epics?

You can't say that. Every card has its place in a well-built deck. You need to look at the cards from a perspective of how it will work in a deck, that's what matters the most.

What legendary is better, Inferno dragon or The Log?

… next question?

What is the lowest arena where I can get a legendary chest from the battle? Or where I can get a legendary card from a normal chest?

Arena 4

What is the lowest arena where I can get a legendary chest as a special offer?

Arena 4

Could legendary chest from lower arena contain all legendaries?

Yes, it can contain even legendaries from higher arenas that you don't have unlocked yet.

Can I get a legendary from an Epic chest?

No. (Really. Just no.)

Related videos

These videos are old and contain some information that is not up-to-date, but while, for example, the Supermagical chest is not in the game anymore, the general principles, like chest cycle, remain the same.

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